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Subtitle: A Comparison of the Related Research Disciplines
Scholarly Essay, 2008, 27 Pages
Author: Robert Breitkreuz
Subject: Economics / Business: Investment and Finance
Details
Tags: Behavioral Accounting, behavioural, efficient market, Financial Reporting, Rechnungslegung, Verhaltenswissenschaft, Effizienzmarkttheorie, Forschungsmethoden, Kapitalmarkt, Finance, Accounting, random walk
Year: 2008
Pages: 27
Language: English
ISBN (E-book): 978-3-640-36093-2
ISBN (Book): 978-3-640-36065-9
Englischsprachiger Aufsatz im Rahmen eines Seminars der Universität St. Gallen.
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Abstract
An economic theory which is not incorporating human behavior is not imaginable. For reasons of simplification economic models traditionally use the concept of a rational acting market participant. In order to face the inadequateness of this abstraction behavioral economic science reject the assumption of the homo economicus and adds various findings from supporting disciplines as psychology, sociology, and organizational theory. While the exploration of human behavior in finance theory has a long tradition, research in the area of psychological effects in accounting started not earlier than the mid of last century. The main intention of modern financial reporting is the supply of useful information for actual and potential investors within their decision-making process. As information processing of agents on the market for equity is part of finance theory, this is the meeting point of the two disciplines. The intention of this paper is to identify overlapping contents of behavioral research in finance and accounting. For clarification selected studies from Behavioral Finance Research (BFR) and Behavioral Accounting Research (BAR) literature will be presented and comparatively analyzed. In addition varying fields of research of both schools which are not related with each other were outlined.
Excerpt (computer-generated)
Accounting Theory
Behavioral Accounting
vs.
Behavioral Finance
St. Gallen, Januar 2009
1
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES
An economic theory which is not incorporating human behavior is not imaginable. For
reasons of simplification economic models traditionally use the concept of a rational acting
market participant. In order to face the inadequateness of this abstraction behavioral economic
science reject the assumption of the
homo economicus
and adds various findings from
supporting disciplines as psychology, sociology, and organizational theory. While the
exploration of human behavior in finance theory has a long tradition, research in the area of
psychological effects in accounting started not earlier than the mid of last century. The main
intention of modern financial reporting is the supply of useful information for actual and
potential investors within their decision-making process. As information processing of agents
on the market for equity is part of finance theory, this is the meeting point of the two
disciplines. The intention of this paper is to identify overlapping contents of behavioral
research in finance and accounting. For clarification selected studies from Behavioral Finance
Research (BFR) and Behavioral Accounting Research (BAR) literature will be presented and
comparatively analyzed. In addition varying fields of research of both schools which are not
related with each other were outlined.
2
BEHAVIORAL FINANCE RESEARCH (BFR)
Classic economic theory as developed by economics like ADAM SMITH, DAVID
RICARDO and JOHN STUART MILL is based on the idea of the
homo economicus
.1 The
homo economicus seeks to receive the highest possible well-being for himself given available
information about opportunities and other constraints, on his ability to achieve his
predetermined goals.2 Homo economicus is seen as "rational" in the sense that well-being as
defined by the utility function is optimized given perceived opportunities (with the greatest
extent and least possible costs).3 Furthermore, the individual is able to process all relevant
information in a appropriate manner.
Taking this into finance theory, the market for equity should be predictable and driven by
public information and the consequent rational reaction of its agents. But since organized
capital markets exist prices seem to be randomly settled and unpredictable. In 1900 LOUIS
BACHELIER stated that stock prices reflect reactions to information coming to the market in
random fashion, so they are no more predictable than "the walking pattern of a drunken
person".4 This is known as the "random walk" in finance theory. Also JOHN MAYNARD
KEYNES recognized in 1936 that the price on the market reflect the expectations of the future
trend; regardless if the expectations are based on wrong or correct assumptions. So the
question was raised if the market behaves irrational. The nobel-prize-winning answer was: no!
PAUL SAMUELSON (1965) argued that the rationality of the investors is the reason for the
fluctuation of the prices on the capital market. Prices on the capital market are the result of the
cumulated amount of discounted dividends. Random fluctuation of prices are due to random
variances of earnings and their expected trends. Neoclassical theory was established and
influenced EUGENE FAMA in 1970 to his Efficient Market Theory (EMT). The bottom line
of this theory is that there is perfect information in the stock market. All data are fully and
immediately reflected in a stock price. This means that whatever information is available
about a stock to one investor is available to all investors. Since everyone has the same
information about a stock, the price of a stock should reflect the knowledge and expectations
of all investors. No group has access to information that would enable it to earn superior risk-
adjusted returns (Arbitrage).
1 The term economic man was introduced in JOHN KELLS INGRAMs "A Hiostory of Political Economy"
in 1888; VILFREDO PARETO used the latin term homo economicus first in 1906.
2 Cf. THALER (2000), p. 134.
3 Cf. FRANZ (2004), p. 83.
4 BACHELIER (1964), p. 256.
3
Based on MARKOWITZ`s portfolio theory a rational investor calculates the asset price with
the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which means that the price is the result of the linear
dependence of the expected return and the risk.5 Therefore irrational behavior could occur
either in processing information regarding the future performance or during the risk
assessment. These are the points where Behavioral Finance joins the game. Empirical findings
describing biases in behavior of investors regarding their risk assessment led
KAHNEMAN/TVERSKY (1979) to their Prospect Theory, which ennobled Behavioral
Finance to a systematic and accepted science. Moreover anomalies regarding the information
processing of market participants were identified and challenged the EMT. The following
event studies show some examples for irrational incorporation of information into stock
prices:
Example 1
"The Sorry Tale of the Cure for Cancer"
HUBERMAN/REGEV (2001) detected the informational imperfection of markets by showing
that even a "non-event" had a major market impact. On Sunday 3 May 1998, the New York
Times carried an article on a new cancer drug being researched by EntreMed. EntreMed`s
stock price rose from $12 on previous Friday up to $85 at the beginning of the week. The
stock subsequently fell back during trading on Monday 4 May to close a very respectable $52.
Three weeks later the stock price was still above $30. Now it could be argued that this was the
efficient market incorporating of new information. But that was exactly the problem. This
wasn`t new information. The potential breakthrough had been reported no less than five
month earlier in numerous popular newspapers including the New York Times. Enthusiastic
public attention induced a permanent rise in EntreMed`s share price, even though no
genuinely new information had been given to the market.
5 Cf. SHARPE (1964), LINTNER (1965), MOSSIN (1966).
4
Example 2
"Massively Confused Investors Making Conspicuously Ignorant Choices"
RASHES (2001) examines the co-movements of stocks with similar ticker symbols. Ticker
symbol confusion is found to lead to interesting price movements in stocks for which there is
no new information introduced to the market. MCI Communication (MCIC) is a large
telecommunication company in the USA. From the end of 1996 through 1997, it was engaged
in merger negotiations with Worldcom. Until the acquisition, it traded on NASDAQ with the
ticker MCIC. Massmutual Corporate Investors is a closed end fund that trades on NYSE
under the ticker MCI. The fund invests most of its assets in long-term corporate debt and
converts. In spite of the fact, that MCI and MCIC have nothing to do with each other, there is
an unusual degree of co-movement between the two stocks. Between November 1 1996 and
November 24 1997, of the 24 days during which 10,000 or more shares of MCI changed
hands, 18 are days on or immediately prior to significant announcements relating to MCIC
merger plans. The mistake done by investors is obvious.RASHES goes on to document
another five cases in which ticker confusion has caused some bizarre market movements.
Example 3
"Dot.coms and Name Changes"
COOPER et. al. (2001) studied firms that changed their names to include some mention of
dot.com. Across their sample of firms drawn from AMEX, NYSE and NASDAQ between
June 1 1998 and July 31 1999, COOPER et al. find that in the five days surrounding the
announcement of a name change to incorporate dot.com into corporate title, an abnormal
return of 53% is generated. Even in the + 60 days event window an abnormal return of 23% is
generated. But perhaps the most bizarrely finding was that firms whose core business is
unrelated to the internet, but who nevertheless decide to amend their name to include a
dot.com reference, generate a 23% abnormal return in the five days surrounding the
announcement, and even worse a 140% abnormal return in the + 60 event window.
These examples show some biases in behavior of investors during their information
processing for stock valuation. Other directions in Behavioral Finance investigate anomalies
in finance related behavior in the areas of Asset Allocation, Portfolio Construction and Risk
Management, and Corporate Finance (see figure 1).6
6 The systematization of fields in BFR follows MONTIER (2007).
5
Figure 1
Schools of BFR
Behavioral Finance
Stock
Asset
Portfolio
Corporate
Valuation
Allocation
Construction
Finance
JDM by Investors
JDM by Investors and
JDM by Investors
JDM by Managers
and Analysts
Analysts
and Analysts
regarding risk
management
JDM = Judgment and Decision Making
BFR in the area of
stock valuation
deals with the behavior of Investors and Analysts
regarding their information processing related to their investment decisions. As showed above
biases inconsistence with the EMT, e.g. imperfect information, are investigated. In the field of
stock valuation the assumptions of the CAPM are also doubt and experimental and empirical
evidences towards the violation of these assumptions exist. Most of the studies deal with the
discount factor for the cost of capital in the valuation process.7 As a reaction to these findings
FAMA and FRENCH developed the three-factor model (FF3) to improve the CAPM in 1993.
BFR in the field of
asset allocation
investigates the rational distribution of investments in
stocks and bonds. The equity risk premium stands in the focus of this research area.8
Furthermore, the well-know bias that initial public offerings (IPOs) or seasoned equity
offerings (SEOs) underperform the broader market, is tried to be explained by behavioral
approaches in this field.9
Biases in the modern
portfolio theory
are mostly due to anomalies in the behavior of
investors and analysts regarding their risk assessment or in technical terms their estimation of
correlation and covariance. As an seminal work DANIEL and TITMAN (1998) showed that a
characteristic model performs better in predicting expected returns than the classic covariance
7 Cf. e.g. LINTNER (1965), HORWITZ et. al (2000).
8 Cf. BARBERIS et al. (2000), CLAUS/THOMAS (2000), WELCH (1999).
9 Cf. NELSON (1999), BAKER/WURGLER (2000), SCHILL (2000).
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