6. Risk analysis 49
6.1 Security Risk 50
6.2 Political Stability Risk 50
6.3 Government Effectiveness Risk 51
6.4 Legal Regulatory Risk 51
6.5 Macroeconomic Risk 52
6.6 Foreign Trade Payment Risk 52
6.7 Tax Policy Risk 53
6.8 Labour Market Risk 53
6.9 Financial Risk 54
6.10 Infrastructure Risk 54
7. MNCs in China 55
7.1. Siemens 55
7.1.1 The company 55
7.1.1.1 Corporate History 55
7.1.1.2 Major Businesses 56
7.1.2 Siemens in China 57
7.1.2.1 External Environment 57
7.1.2.2 Entry strategy 59
7.1.2.3 Conclusion 60
7.2. Toyota 61
7.2.1 The company 61
7.2.1.1 Corporate History 61
7.2.1.2 Major Businesses 62
7.2.1.3 International markets 62
7.2.2 Toyota in China 63
7.2.2.1 External Environment 63
7.2.2.2 Entry strategy 64
7.2.2.3 Conclusion 65
8. Conclusion 66
9. Appendix 69
9.1 Figures 69
9.2 Tables 72
Affidavit 80
2 NA
List of figures
Figure 1: http: www universes-in-universe de asia chn d-map htm
Figure 2: http: www ccpit org vhosts english II htm
Figure 3 - Compare: http: www china-
experts de Ratgeber HANDEL 1 Aussenhandel der VR China aussenhandel der NA
vr china html NA
3 NA
List of tables
Table 1: Luo Y Multinational corporations in China - Benefiting from structural
transformation Copenhagen Business School Press Copenhagen 2000;
Page 18
Table 2: Wang Z Q Foreign Investment and Economic Development in Hungary
and China Avebury Aldershot Brookfield 1995 Page 166
Table 3: Hofsteede G Culture s consequences International Differences in Work
Related Values Abridged edition Sage publications Newbury Park London New
Delhi 1984 Page 107
Table 4 Hofsteede G Culture s consequences International Differences in Work
Related Values Abridged edition Sage publications Newbury Park London New
Delhi 1984 Page 173
Table 5: Hofsteede G Culture s consequences International Differences in Work
Related Values Abridged edition Sage publications Newbury Park London New
Delhi 1984 Page 207
Table 6: Hofsteede G Culture s consequences International Differences in Work
Related Values Abridged edition Sage publications Newbury Park London New
Delhi 1984 Page 142 f
Table 7: http: www china-
experts de Ratgeber Investitionen Investitionsstatistik investitionsstatistik html NA
Table 8: http: www quickmba com strategy global marketentry
Table 9: http: home aigonline com country view 0 4605 1315 00 html
4 NA
List of abbreviations
APEC - Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
CCP - Chinese Communist Party
CEO - Chief Executive Officer
CJV - Contractual Joint Venture
CNY - Yuan
EJV - Equity Joint Venture
ETDZ - Economic and Technological Development Zone
EU - European Union
FDI - Foreign Direct Investment
FIE - Foreign Invested Enterprise
FISC - Foreign-Invested Joint Stock Limited Companies
f o b - free on board
GATT - General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
GDP -Gross Domestic Product
IDV - Individualism Index
IMF - International Monetary Fund
KMT - Nationalist Party
M A - Mergers and Acquisitions
MAS - Masculinity Index
MNC - Multinational Corporation
NPL - Non-Performing Loans
PDI - Power Distance Index
PRC - People s Republic of China
RMB - Renminbi
SAFE - State Administration of Foreign Exchange
SAIC - State Administration for Industry and Commerce
SAR - Special Administrative Region
SARS - Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome
SEZ - Special Economic Zone
SOE - State Owned Enterprise
UAI - Uncertainty Avoidance Index
U S - United States
USD - United States Dollar
5 NA
VAT - Value Added Tax
WFOE - Wholly Foreign Owned Enterprise
WTO - World Trade Organization
6
Reference
Bennett, P.; International Marketing, 2 nd Edition; Kogan Page Ltd.; London; 1998
Bosse, M.; Neue Töne aus China – bessere Rahmenbedingungen – Risiken bleiben, aus: Finance – das Finanzmagazin für Unternehmer, Ausgabe Mai 2004
Brenner, H., Granier, B.; Business-Guide China; Fachverlag Deutscher Wirtschaftsdienst; Köln; 2002
Cheung-Lieh, Y,; Chinas neue Wirtschaftspolitik; Campus Verlag; Frankfurt, New York; 1980
El Kahal, S.; Business in Asia Pacific – Text and Cases; Oxford University Press; New York 2001
Fukasaku, K., Wall, D., Wu, M.; China’s long march to an open economy; Development Centre of the organisation for economic co-operation and development; Paris 1994
Harris P.R., Moran R.T.; Managing cultural differences;; 3 rd edition, Houston Golf Publishing; 1991
Hofsteede, G.; Culture’s consequences – International Differences in Work – Related Values; Abridged edition; Sage publications; Newbury Park, London, New Delhi; 1984
Internet:
http://asnic.utexas.edu/asnic/countries/china/chinalegal.html http://home.aigonline.com/country_view/0,4605,1315,00.html http://wehner.tamu.edu/mgmt.www/Monteils/3-FDI.htm http://www1.chinadaily.com.cn/en/doc/2004-01/20/content_300575.htm http://www.ahk-china.org/china-economy/government-expenditure.htm http://www.bayernlb.de/p/_de/downloads/offen/1310_volkswirtschaft/laender/China10 03.pdf
http://www.bwl-bote.de/20030917.htm
http://www.china- experts.de/Ratgeber/Investitionen/Investitionsstatistik/investitionsstatistik.html
http://www.china-window.com/china_business/china_business_tips/market-entry- options-for-.shtml
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/ch.html
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/mc.html
http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/hk.html
http://www.deacons.com.au/news/article.asp?nID=371
http://www.econ.pncbank.com/china.htm
http://www.efic.gov.au/static/efi/cra/china.htm
http://www.hsbc.com.hk/hk/corp/aoc/businf.htm
http.//www.informit.com/articles/article.asp?p=101588&seqNum=2
http://www.international.ucla.edu/asia/article.asp?parentid=2878
http://www.marketresearch.com/map/prod/965135.html
http://www.oanda.com/converter/classic
http://www.pacificbridgemedical.com
http://www.quickmba.com/strategy/global/marketentry/
http://www.qis.net/chinalaw/setrep1.htm
http://www.republic.wednet.edu/student_projects/Economics/china.htm
http://www.tdctrade.com/sme/ir/sme_irchina.htm
http://www.svcwireless.org/programs/seminar120903/Sara%20Rauchwerger%20Pre sentation%2012-09-03.pdf
http://www.siemens.com/
http://www.thetimes100.co.uk/theory/theory.php?tID=238
http://www.toyota.co.jp/en/about_toyota/history/index.html
http://www.trade.gov/doctm/Fran2002.htm
http://www.wordiq.com/definition/Economy_of_China
http://www.worldlawdirect.com/article/1649/China's_legal_system_and_Chinese_law. html
Janocha, P.; Asiens Märkte erfolgreich erschließen; Springer Verlag; Berlin,
Heidelberg; 1998
8
Kautz, G.; Developing International Markets – Shaping your global presence; PSI successful business library,; 1998 Kotler,P., Armstrong G., Saunders J., Wong, V.; Principles of Marketing – The European Edition; Prentice Hall Europe; 1996 Luo, Y.; Multinational corporations in China - Benefiting from structural transformation; Copenhagen Business School Press;; Copenhagen; 2000 Perlitz, M.; Internationales Management, 4. Auflage; Lucius & Lucius; Stuttgart; 2000 Rothlauf,J.; Interkulturelles Management; R. Oldenbourg Verlag; Wien, München
1999 Tylor E.B.; Primitive Culture, Band 1, , New York 1871 Wang, Z.Q.; Foreign Investment and Economic Development in Hungary and China; Avebury; Aldershot, Brookfield; 1995 Welge, M., Holtbrügge, D.; Internationales Management, 3. Auflage; Schäffer- Poeschel Verlag; Stutgart; 2003
9
1. Introduction
The recent 20 years have been the era of globalization with enormous growth in international trade, financial flows and foreign direct investment (FDI). In former times, most Western companies did not engage in international business activities. On the hand their domestic market seemed to be attractive enough and there were sufficient opportunities for growth. On the other hand, companies did not have to take into consideration the specific features of foreign markets. Managers did not have to deal with foreign languages, currencies and “strange” cultural behaviour. Furthermore, companies did not need to adapt their products to different customer preferences or care about legal and political uncertainties. 1 Nowadays, however, the changing business environment and the dependency on other nations’ goods and services has forced most companies to seek opportunities in foreign markets as well. In general, companies decide to invest abroad for a variety of reasons:
§ Limited domestic growth is one of the major reasons why firms enter foreign markets. This development has started in the 70’s when Japanese manufacturers began to enter Western markets in many sectors. Nowadays those companies have to face competition from other Asian countries, such as South Korea and Taiwan, which have gained advantages through their low-cost labour force.
§ Geographic market diversification to reduce country-specific risk is another popular reason behind many companies' expansion plans. Country specific risk is defined as the risk of operating in only one country and thus being dependent on its political and economical system.
§ Lower cost of production in developing countries is a popular reason, as well. However, such a "cost-led approach" is unlikely to l ead to be successful in the the long-term. If customers' needs are not identified and satisfied, the company will not be able to become a successful "global player". 2 During these two decades, China was strongly influenced by globalization, as well and has undergone a structural transformation - from a centrally planned economy to a market - based one and from a rural, agricultural society to an urban, industrial one. 1 Compare: Kotler, Armstrong, Saunders, Wong; Page 166 2 Compare: Kotler, Armstrong, Saunders, Wong; Page 167
10
In this period, more than 320,000 enterprises were founded, and China became one of the largest FDI recipient countries, surpassed only by the U.S. There are various reasons for investing in China: On the one hand lower wages reduce costs and the huge market potential enables the companies to raise their revenues. On the other hand economic and legal reforms have created favourable conditions for business activities - some people still cannot believe that it is possible to make large profits in a socialist country. Nowadays China is world's largest developing market economy and the fastest growing market. 3 Once a company decides to enter the Chinese market, it should develop a long-term entry strategy and prepare the entry thoroughly. It is the goal of this thesis to give detailed information about the Chinese market itself, to describe its specific features and to explain different entry strategies.
The process to succeed in entering the Chinese market, consists of the following milestones:
§ Gather general information about China, the specific features of the Chinese market and the company's competitors
§ Learn about cultural habits and the people's mentality
§ Choose the entry mode
§ Develop a risk analysis for the Chinese market Those milestones will be outlined in the following chapters.
Concerning the structure of this thesis, it will start off by giving a general description of the Chinese market and its economic development, as well as trade and investment opportunities and motives.
After that, an overview of the Chinese culture will be given, including a description of Chinese behavioural patterns and the difference to German behaviour. Furthermore negotiation style and techniques will be pointed out.
Based on all the information given, potential entry strategies will then be pointed out, including each strategy’s advantages and disadvantages. B esides, industrial and foreign direct investment opportunities policies regulated by the Chinese government will be illustrated and major investment opportunities will be outlined. This chapter is followed by a description of the choice of location, which also includes an overview about certain investment incentives which are offered in specific regions. The following chapter deals with a complete risk analysis for the Chinese market. 3 Compare: Luo, Page 12
11
The second but last chapter deals with companies, which have managed to enter the Chinese market. This chapter also includes a description of the reasons why these companies have been so successful in accessing the Chinese market. Finally, the most important information will be summarized and a final conclusion will be drawn. Figures and tables are part of the appendix.
12
2. China as business location
2.1 General facts on China
Note: The following data is taken from the CIA Worldfactbook. If another source has been used, this is indicated.
Country:
China covers an area 9,561,000 square kilometres, slightly larger than that of that USA. Thus, it’s the world’s second largest country after Canada. It shares its borders with North Korea, Mongolia, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kirgizistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar, Laos and Vietnam. 4 Figure 1 (Appendix) shows a detailed map of China.
People: 5
Population: 1,286,975,468 (July 2003 est.) Age structure: 0-14 years: 23.1% 15-64 years: 69.5%
65 years and over: 7.4% (2003 est)
Population growth rate: 0.6% (2003 est.) In 1971, the communist party introduced a family planning program which allowed just one child per family. However, it is estimated, that, by 2010, the total population of China will be five times of that of the USA. 6 Ethnic groups: Han Chinese 91.9%, Zhuang, Uygur, Hui, Yi, Tibetan, Miao, Manchu, Mongol, Buyi, Korean, and other nationalities 8.1% Religions: Daoist (Taoist), Buddhist, Muslim 1%-2%, Christian 3%-4% Languages: Standard Chinese or Mandarin (Putonghua, based on the Beijing dialect), Yue (Cantonese), Wu (Shanghaiese), Minbei (Fuzhou), Minnan (Hokkien- Taiwanese), Xiang, Gan, Hakka dialects, minority languages Government: 7 Government type: Communist state Capital: Beijing 4 Compare: El Kahal; Page 62 5 http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/ch.html 6 Compare: El Kahl; Page 63 7 http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/ch.html
Administrative division: 23 provinces (note: China considers Taiwan its 23rd province) Macau was colonized by Portugual in the 16th century and was the first European settlement in the Far East. Due to an agreement signed by China and Portugal on 13 April 1987, Macau became the Macau Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China in 1999. China has promised that its socialist economic system will not be practised in Macau and that Macau will enjoy a high degree of autonomy for the next 50 years. 8 Hong Kong was occupied by the UK in 1841 and formally handed over by China the following year. Due to an agreement signed by China and the UK, Hong Kong became the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) of China in 1997. In this agreement, China has promised that its socialist economic system will not be imposed on Hong Kong and that Hong Kong will enjoy a high degree of autonomy for the next 50 years. 9 Independence: 221 BC, replaced by the Republic on 12 February 1912. The People's Republic of China (PRC) was established in 1949.
National holiday: Anniversary of the Founding of the People's Republic of China, 1 October (1949) Economy: 10 GDP: 1.414 trillion (2003) 11 GDP – real growth rate: 9.1% (2003) 12 GDP – per capita: - $965 (2002 est.) 13 GDP – per capita – purchasing power parity: $4,700 (2002 est.) GDP – composition by sector: agriculture: 15.2% industry and construction: 51.2% services: 33.6% (2001) Inflation rate: -0.8% (2002 est.) Labour force: 744 million (2001 est.) Labour force – by occupation: agriculture 50%, industry 22%, services 28% (2001 est.)
Unemployment rate: urban unemployment roughly 10%; substantial unemployment and underemployment in rural areas (2002 est.) Budget: 14 Budgetary Revenue by Item 100 Mio. Yuan
- Taxes
- Subsidies to loss-making Enterprises
- Revenues from Extra-charges for Education
- other revenues
Budgetary Expenditure by Function Total Expenditure
- Economic Construction
- Social, Cultural and Educational Development
- National Defence
- Government Administration
- others 2262.26
Industries: iron and steel, coal, machine building, armaments, textiles and apparel, petroleum, cement, chemical fertilizers, footwear, toys, food processing, automobiles, consumer electronics, telecommunications Industrial production growth rate: 12.6% (2002 est.) Exports: $325.6 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.) Export commodities: machinery and equipment; textiles and clothing, footwear, toys and sporting goods; mineral fuels Export partners: US 21.5%, Hong Kong 18%, Japan 14.9%, South Korea 4.8% (2002) Imports: $295.3 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.) Import commodities: machinery and equipment, mineral fuels, plastics, iron and steel, chemicals
15
Import partners: Japan 18.1%, Taiwan 10.5%, South Korea 9.7%, US 9.2%, Germany 5.6% (2002) Debt – external: $149.4 billion (2002 est.) Currency: yuan (CNY), also referred to as the Renminbi (RMB) Exchange rate: yuan per US dollar – 8.28 (2003), 8.28 (2002), 8.28 (2001), 8.28 (2000), 8.28 (1999), 8.28 (1998)
1 Euro = 10.14295 Yuan 15
Communication: 16 Telephones – main lines in use: 135 million (2000) Telephones – mobile cellular: 65 million (January 2001) Radios: 417 million (1997) Televisions: 400 million (1997) Internet users: 45.8 million (2002)
2.2 Economic development of China
When the People's Republic of China (PRC) was founded in 1949 it has managed to establish a relatively large and complete industrial system. The number of industrial companies grew up to 350,000 in 1979, while the number of employees in this sector increased to more than 50 Million. 17 However, in spite of this development, China was almost totally sealed off from international trade and foreign investment until 1978. Since then, it took an almost unbelievable development. To explain, why and how economic circumstances changed and how the government has managed to create an attractive market for foreign investors, a description of the economic reform process will be given now: In late 1978 the Chinese leadership began to change the economic system from a centrally planned economy to a more market-oriented system. Whereas the political system is still subject to strict Communist control, the economic influence of private companies and individual citizens has been steadily increasing. The authorities established a system of household and village responsibility in agriculture instead of the old collectivization, increased the authority of local officials and managers in industry, permitted a variety of small-scale enterprises in services and light
17
Compare: Cheung-Lieh, Page 43
16
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