Grin logo
de en es fr
Shop
GRIN Website
Texte veröffentlichen, Rundum-Service genießen
Zur Shop-Startseite › Psychologie - Methoden

Heuristics: a source of judgement fallacies or decision-making aids?

Titel: Heuristics: a source of judgement fallacies or decision-making aids?

Studienarbeit , 2012 , 30 Seiten , Note: 20

Autor:in: Jon Michael Jachimowicz (Autor:in)

Psychologie - Methoden
Leseprobe & Details   Blick ins Buch
Zusammenfassung Leseprobe Details

This review essay explores different perspectives and conceptualizations
of the study of heuristics, decision-making rules which operate under constrained
time and computation (Kahneman, 2011). Two opposed models of heuristics that
assume conditions of bounded rationality, the heuristics-and-biases and the fastand-
frugal framework, are assessed. Whereas the former evaluates heuristics in
terms of logical rationality and postulates that humans exhibit predictable
fallacies in judgement, the latter focuses on ecological validity, and suggests that
humans possess an adaptive toolbox of evolutionary developed decision-making
rules which enable better decision making. Finally, alternative explanations and
limitations of existing research programs will be explored, concluding with a
demand for a rigorous evaluation of experimental designs as well as outlining
conditions for a possible synthesis.

Leseprobe


Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

2. APPROACHES TO RATIONALITY

3. THE HEURISTICS-AND-BIASES FRAMEWORK

3.1. THE TWO-SYSTEMS VIEW

3.2. ACCESSIBILITY AND THE AVAILABILITY HEURISTIC

3.3. NEW HEURISTICS

3.3.1. A generic heuristic process

3.3.2. Extension of heuristics

3.3.3 How can System 2 override intuitive judgement (System 1)?

3.4. CRITIQUES TO HAB

4. FAST-AND-FRUGAL HEURISTICS

4.1. SIMILARITIES TO HAB

4.2. DIFFERENCES TO HAB

4.2.1. Ecological Rationality

4.2.2. Less-is-more

4.2.3. Bias-Variance Dilemma

4.2.4. A predictable model vs. labels

4.2.5. Adaptive Toolbox: Examples of fast-and-frugal heuristics

4.3. CRITIQUES

4.3.1. HAB’s reply

4.3.2. Questioning the predictive power of FAF

4.3.3. Evans and Over (2010)

5. CONCLUSION

5.1. ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATIONS AND LIMITS OF EXISTING RESEARCH

5.2. FUTURE DIRECTIONS: A POSSIBLE SYNTHESIS?

Research Objectives and Core Themes

This essay aims to provide a critical comparative evaluation of the two dominant research frameworks on heuristics: the Heuristics-and-Biases (HAB) approach and the Fast-and-Frugal (FAF) framework, exploring their underlying epistemological assumptions, key arguments, and potential for integration.

  • Logical rationality vs. ecological rationality
  • The two-systems view of human cognition
  • The adaptive toolbox and evolutionary strategies
  • Bias-variance dilemma in decision models
  • Critical assessment of empirical and methodological limitations

Excerpt from the Book

3.1. The two-systems view

Kahneman (2002) proposed that intuitive judgements occupy a position between the automatic perception and deliberate operations of reasoning. This distinction between intuition and reasoning, two types of cognitive processes, has been labelled System 1 and 2 (Stanovich & West, 2000).

It is hypothesized that System 1 operates automatically, quickly, with little effort, and no sense of voluntary control (Evans & Over, 2010). Similar to the features of perceptual processes, operations are associative, relatively flexible and potentially rule-governed (Petty & Cacioppo, 1986). A picture of an angry woman, for example, automatically evokes certain predispositions about the future (see Figure 1), such as the impression she may say unkind words in a loud voice (Kahneman, 2011).

Summary of Chapters

1. INTRODUCTION: Defines the scope of the essay, introducing the concept of bounded rationality and the two main competing research frameworks.

2. APPROACHES TO RATIONALITY: Distinguishes between models of unbounded and bounded rationality, setting the theoretical stage for the study of heuristics.

3. THE HEURISTICS-AND-BIASES FRAMEWORK: Examines the HAB perspective, specifically focusing on the System 1 and System 2 cognitive model and the impact of heuristic use on judgement.

4. FAST-AND-FRUGAL HEURISTICS: Explores the FAF framework, focusing on the adaptive toolbox, ecological rationality, and the superiority of simple strategies in certain environments.

5. CONCLUSION: Synthesizes the findings, discusses theoretical limitations, and suggests a future direction for integrating both frameworks.

Keywords

Heuristics, Bounded Rationality, Heuristics-and-Biases, Fast-and-Frugal, Decision-making, Ecological Rationality, System 1, System 2, Attribute Substitution, Adaptive Toolbox, Bias-Variance Dilemma, Cognitive Psychology, Rationality, Judgement, Predictive Accuracy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the primary focus of this research?

The research explores the debate between the Heuristics-and-Biases (HAB) and the Fast-and-Frugal (FAF) frameworks, questioning whether heuristics lead to systematic judgement fallacies or act as adaptive aids for decision-making.

What are the two main theoretical approaches discussed?

The essay evaluates the Heuristics-and-Biases approach (Kahneman & Tversky), which emphasizes logical rationality, and the Fast-and-Frugal framework (Gigerenzer et al.), which emphasizes ecological rationality.

What is the central research question?

The essay investigates the origins, definitions, and underlying philosophical assumptions of both models to determine if they can be integrated or if their differences remain irreconcilable.

Which scientific methodology is employed?

This is a review essay that performs a comparative evaluation of the main arguments, experimental designs, and methodological criticisms found within both major research groups.

What does the main body cover?

The main body details the two-systems view, the mechanics of attribute substitution, the bias-variance dilemma, the adaptive toolbox, and the specific empirical criticisms leveled by proponents of each framework against the other.

Which keywords define this work?

Key terms include heuristics, bounded rationality, ecological rationality, adaptive toolbox, bias-variance dilemma, and the distinction between System 1 and System 2 cognitive processes.

How does System 2 interact with System 1 in the HAB framework?

System 2 acts as a monitor for the intuitive outputs generated by System 1, possessing the capability to endorse, correct, or override erroneous judgements, though this monitoring process is often described as lax.

What is the "less-is-more" effect in the FAF framework?

It is the phenomenon where reduced information and computational effort can actually result in higher accuracy when the heuristic is well-suited to the ecological structure of the environment.

How do HAB and FAF differ on the "bias-variance dilemma"?

HAB views biases as deviations from logical rules to be overcome, whereas FAF argues that simple, biased heuristics can be more robust and accurate in prediction than complex models because they avoid the high variance associated with over-fitting.

Ende der Leseprobe aus 30 Seiten  - nach oben

Details

Titel
Heuristics: a source of judgement fallacies or decision-making aids?
Hochschule
University of St Andrews
Veranstaltung
Behavioural Economics
Note
20
Autor
Jon Michael Jachimowicz (Autor:in)
Erscheinungsjahr
2012
Seiten
30
Katalognummer
V203666
ISBN (eBook)
9783656346036
ISBN (Buch)
9783656346425
Sprache
Englisch
Schlagworte
Heuristics Psychology Decision-Making Cognitive Cognition Kahneman Gigerenzer
Produktsicherheit
GRIN Publishing GmbH
Arbeit zitieren
Jon Michael Jachimowicz (Autor:in), 2012, Heuristics: a source of judgement fallacies or decision-making aids?, München, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/203666
Blick ins Buch
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
  • Wenn Sie diese Meldung sehen, konnt das Bild nicht geladen und dargestellt werden.
Leseprobe aus  30  Seiten
Grin logo
  • Grin.com
  • Versand
  • Kontakt
  • Datenschutz
  • AGB
  • Impressum