This paper constitutes a country rating of the Argentine Republic. Firstly, the country and its economy will be described briefly. In the following, the Argentine Republic will be rated by the usage of the methodology of the credit rating agency Moody’s. Moody's is an essential component of the global capital markets, providing credit ratings, research, tools and analysis that contribute to transparent and integrated financial markets cf.
After that, an example of an export-oriented sector serves as a case-study to be closer analyzed with regard to potential, arising risks, while doing business with Argentina and the implicated country rating. Finally, a statistically-based forecast for the underlying business sector will be developed.
Inhaltsverzeichnis (Table of Contents)
- Introduction
- Description of Argentina and its economy
- Country Rating of Argentina
- Economic Strength
- Institutional Strength
- Fiscal Strength
- Susceptibility to Event Risk
- Final Rating
- Automotive Industry in Argentina
- Potential risks
- Implication of the country rating
- Statistically-based forecast of vehicle sales
- Conclusion
Zielsetzung und Themenschwerpunkte (Objectives and Key Themes)
This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Argentina's economic landscape, culminating in a country rating using Moody's methodology. The focus is on identifying potential risks associated with doing business in Argentina, particularly within the automotive industry. The paper further seeks to develop a statistically-based forecast for vehicle sales in Argentina.
- Country rating and analysis of Argentina's economic environment
- Evaluation of risks associated with doing business in Argentina
- Examination of the automotive industry in Argentina
- Development of a statistically-based forecast for vehicle sales
- Application of Moody's rating methodology
Zusammenfassung der Kapitel (Chapter Summaries)
- Introduction: Provides an overview of the paper's scope and objectives, outlining a comprehensive analysis of Argentina's economy, including a country rating, an examination of the automotive sector, and a statistically-based forecast of vehicle sales.
- Description of Argentina and its economy: Introduces Argentina's economic landscape, highlighting key industries, exports, and imports, while also discussing the government's framework and the nation's dependence on international trade.
- Country Rating of Argentina: This chapter delves into the country rating of Argentina, applying Moody's methodology to assess its economic, institutional, fiscal, and susceptibility to event risk. The chapter will analyze the country's strengths and weaknesses in each area, leading to a final rating based on Moody's assessment.
- Automotive Industry in Argentina: This chapter focuses on the automotive industry in Argentina, examining potential risks and challenges faced by businesses operating in this sector. The chapter analyzes how Argentina's country rating impacts businesses operating within this industry, offering insights into the potential consequences of the overall economic and political landscape.
- Statistically-based forecast of vehicle sales: This chapter presents a statistically-based forecast of vehicle sales in Argentina, utilizing data and analysis to project future trends in the automotive market. The forecast aims to provide valuable information for businesses involved in the automotive industry, helping them plan and make informed decisions.
Schlüsselwörter (Keywords)
This paper focuses on country rating, Argentina's economy, Moody's methodology, automotive industry, risk assessment, statistically-based forecasting, vehicle sales, economic strength, institutional strength, fiscal strength, susceptibility to event risk, import-export dynamics, and industry analysis.
- Quote paper
- Tobias Hinterwimmer (Author), 2018, Financial Planning and Rating. Rating of Argentina and Analysis of the Automotive Sales with Forecasting Data, Munich, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/456654