Since both food security and energy security are countries’ strategic objective, this study typically advocates a deep understanding of the concept of political stability to incorporate food and energy security as a new pillar of conflict management based on an empirical understanding of the nexus and its effect. We used food deficit as proxy for food security and energy imports for energy security from the World Bank database. Using the panel fixed effect method on data for more than 150 countries from 2008 to 2016, we identified a highly significant positive effect of economic growth, tourism and high institutional quality on stability. Destabilizing factors were also detected such as corruption and arable land scarcity. The negative effect of food insecurity was illustrated after the introduction of the squared term of food deficit. Energy imports also have a destabilizing effect. These results for the effect of food and energy security effect holds robust to various control of other determinants in our regression. This study calls for more attention to the energy and food strategy within a country. Keeping peace and stability in the world will require development effort and technological exchange between countries in terms of food strategy and renewable energy plans. These measures will boost economic growth and improve the quality of institutions which will help fighting corruption.
Table of contents
1-Introduction
2- Review of Literature
2.1. Review of theoretical literature
2.1.1 Energy Security
2.1.2 Food Security
2.1.3 Political Stability
2.2. Review of empirical literature
3- Research Design
3.1 Hypothesis
3.2 Panel methods
3.3 Methodology
3.4 Data
3.4.1 Independent variables
3.4.2 Dependent variable
3.5 Global Peace Index
4- Results and Discussion
5- Conclusion
Research Objectives and Themes
This study aims to assess the linkages between food and energy security and political stability within a country, filling a clear gap in the current literature regarding the energy-food nexus and its impact on conflict management processes.
- The relationship between energy security and political stability.
- The role of food security and its impact on peace and stability.
- The influence of governance and institutional quality on preventing conflict.
- Empirical analysis using panel fixed effect methods for over 150 countries.
Excerpt from the Book
1-Introduction
Suffering, mutilation and death of human beings are the most obvious and important effects of all conflicts, as well as natural disasters. Yet, material losses are also important because they reduce the livelihood and recovery capacities of conflict survivors. Moreover, in many cases, the indirect effects of conflict cause more deaths than direct violence. It has been found that generally the indirect costs of war are greater than its direct costs and persist long after the end of the conflict. Instability and conflict affect many economic sectors such as reducing foreign exchange earnings, which can have serious consequences for development and food security. Indeed, global population growth combined with the effects of climate change on agriculture pose the risk of a Malthusian trap to humanity that can only be avoided by a more efficient and sustainable production system. Energy security policies and climate policies are often considered as two sides of the same coin, their objectives being at least complementary, if not identical.
In the year of 2000 the Millennium Summit of the United Nations established eight international development goals. At that time the strategic plan was to work on realizing these objectives by the year 2015. The determined goals were fighting poverty, improving education, promoting gender equality, improving the health situation of people in the world, ensuring sustainability and especially encouraging strong worldwide partnership for development (MDGs, UN 2015). In order to assess this MDGs 2015 plan and help understanding why some outlined objectives are still not reached in a satisfactory manner, this study will contribute to the path of scientific recommendation to policy makers and strategic planners. To help achieving these goals in the future there is a need for understanding how stability could be realized.
Summary of Chapters
1-Introduction: Introduces the critical relationship between conflict, economic development, and the necessity for stability through energy and food security.
2- Review of Literature: Examines theoretical and empirical studies surrounding energy security, food security, and political stability, identifying key determinants like corruption and land scarcity.
3- Research Design: Outlines the study's hypotheses, the panel fixed effect methodology, and the data sources used to measure variables like food deficit and energy imports.
4- Results and Discussion: Presents the regression findings, highlighting the destabilizing effects of food and energy insecurity and the positive impact of institutional quality on stability.
5- Conclusion: Summarizes the study’s findings and provides recommendations for sustainable policy-making to boost stability through food and energy management.
Keywords
Political Stability, Food Security, Energy Security, Fixed Effect, Panel Data, Economic Growth, Corruption, Arable Land, Global Peace Index, Institutional Quality, Conflict Management, Resource Rent, Globalization, Unemployment, Sustainability.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the primary focus of this research?
The research examines the impact of food and energy security on political stability across more than 150 countries from 2008 to 2016.
What are the key thematic areas addressed?
The study focuses on the food-energy-stability nexus, the role of institutional quality, and the influence of economic growth and globalization on political stability.
What is the core research question?
The study investigates the relationship between food and energy security and political stability, asking how these factors influence political change and whether good governance secures peace.
Which methodology is employed in this study?
The author uses a panel fixed effect regression technique to estimate the impact of various explanatory variables on stability indicators.
What does the main body of the work cover?
It covers a literature review of theoretical and empirical frameworks, the research design including hypotheses and data description, and a detailed discussion of empirical results.
What characterize this study?
It is characterized by the use of the Global Peace Index (GPI) as a proxy for political stability and a comprehensive empirical analysis of food and energy security factors.
How is food security measured in the empirical model?
Food security is proxied by the depth of food deficit, measured in kilocalories per person per day, provided by the World Bank database.
What is the role of institutional quality in the findings?
The study finds that institutional quality and the rule of law have a significant positive effect on political stability, acting as crucial factors in conflict mitigation.
Does energy import status impact stability?
Yes, the study identifies that increased energy insecurity, reflected by energy imports, has a destabilizing effect on a country's political system.
What is the significance of the "squared term of food deficit"?
It is used to investigate the non-linear relationship between food insecurity and stability, revealing that severe levels of food deficit act as a significant destabilizing factor.
- Arbeit zitieren
- Mohamed Taher Sassi (Autor:in), 2020, The Effect of Food and Energy Security on Political Stability, München, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/882608