This study examines the impact of key commodities and U.S. stock indices on the Nifty 50 index, using advanced econometric techniques to analyze both short-term and long-term relationships. The research focuses on crude oil prices, gold prices, the USD/INR exchange rate, the S&P 500, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, assessing their influence on the Indian stock market over the period from January 2014 to November 2024.
Employing time-series models such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test, ARIMA, Granger causality, Johansen cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and GARCH, the study identifies significant interdependencies between these financial variables.
The stock market serves as a crucial component of a nation's financial ecosystem, playing a pivotal role in capital formation, investment opportunities, and economic stability. As one of the most actively traded financial markets, the Indian stock market is significantly influenced by a variety of economic and financial variables, including commodity prices, exchange rate fluctuations, and global market trends. Among these factors, crude oil prices, gold prices, and the USD/INR exchange rate have been extensively studied due to their profound impact on economic activities and market volatility. Additionally, the influence of major US stock indices, such as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, has gained increasing attention as global financial markets become more interconnected.
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- Shrey Raithatha (Autor), 2025, The Impact of Select Commodities and US Indices on Nifty 50 Index, Múnich, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/1568110
