This paper deals with the the impact of road traffic accident on economic growth in Ethiopia. It explains the trend of road traffic accident in Ethiopia, to analyze the effects of socio-economic factors on road traffic accident in Ethiopia. Besides it examines the effect of risk factor on road traffic accident to investigate the effect of road traffic accident on economic growth in Ethiopia.
Road traffic accident is the cause of public health and development crisis. Road traffic accident is also expected to increase in Ethiopia if road safety is not addressed adequately by government. According to world health organization(WHO) globally, the number of people killed in road traffic crashes each year is estimated to be 1.2 million, while the number injured could be as high as 50 million the combined population of five of the world’s large cities.
This study will help in identifying the impact of traffic accident on economic growth in Ethiopia. More specifically the study has values for the following bodies with their relevant significance. To create awareness among policy designers, decision makers, to indicate managerial direction for the transport authority and traffic management pertaining to the impact of the traffic accident on economic growth; and, to obtain information, knowledge and experience that may serve to reduce the risk of road traffic accident in the Ethiopia. Moreover, it may be able to serve as a reference for those who are going to carry out further study in this field in depth and as a reading material who are interested to.
Table of Contents
1. Background of the Study
1.1 Problem statement
1.2 Objective of the study
1.3 Research question:-
1.4 Significance of research
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1 Traffic accident globally
2.2 Traffic Accident in Ethiopia
2.3 Transport and Economic growth
2.4 The risk factors for road traffic accident
2.5 Researcher knowledge gap
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1. Research Approach
3.2. Sampling Design
3.3. Variables in the Study
3.4. Model Specification Test
3.5. Classical Linear Regression Assumptions and tests
3.6. Data Analysis Technique
4. STUDY PLAN
4.1. Time Breakdown (Schedule)
4.2. Logistics
4.2.1. Stationary and Related costs
Research Objectives and Key Topics
The primary objective of this research is to investigate the impact of road traffic accidents on economic growth in Ethiopia. The study seeks to analyze the trends in traffic accidents, identify the underlying socio-economic and behavioral risk factors, and determine how these accidents influence national economic performance over time.
- Analysis of road traffic accident trends in Ethiopia.
- Examination of the relationship between transport infrastructure and economic growth.
- Identification of key risk factors including speeding, alcohol use, and driving without a license.
- Evaluation of the economic consequences of road traffic fatalities and injuries.
- Development of an econometric model using panel data to quantify the impact of accidents on real GDP.
Excerpt from the Book
1. Background of the Study
Road traffic accident is the cause of public health and development crisis. Road traffic accident is also expected to increase in Ethiopia if road safety is not addressed adequately by government. According to world health organization(WHO) globally, the number of people killed in road traffic crashes each year is estimated to be 1.2 million, while the number injured could be as high as 50 million the combined population of five of the world’s large cities (WHO, 2018). The tragedy behind these figures regularly attracts less media attention than other, less frequent but more unusual types of tragedy without increased efforts and new initiatives, the total number of road traffic deaths worldwide and injuries is forecast to rise by some 65% between 2000 and 2020 (WHO, 2018), and in low-income and middle-income countries deaths are expected to increase by as much as 80%. The majority of such deaths are currently among vulnerable road users: - including pedestrians, pedal cyclists and motorcyclists. In high-income countries, deaths among car occupants continue to be predominant, but the risks per capita that vulnerable road users face are high.
This is the first major report on road injury prevention jointly issued by the WHO and the World Bank, and underscores the concern that the two bodies share about the detrimental impact of an unsafe road transport system on public health and global development. It is the contention of the report, first, that the level of road deaths and injuries is unacceptable, and second, that it is to a large extent avoidable.
Summary of Chapters
CHAPTER ONE: This chapter introduces the public health crisis posed by road traffic accidents, outlines the problem statement, and defines the specific research objectives and questions.
CHAPTER TWO: This chapter reviews global and local literature regarding traffic accident statistics, the relationship between transport and economic growth, and the identified risk factors.
CHAPTER THREE: This chapter details the research methodology, including the quantitative approach, panel data selection, and the specific econometric models used to estimate the impact of accidents on economic growth.
CHAPTER FOUR: This chapter outlines the study plan, including the project timeline and a breakdown of logistical and stationary costs associated with the research.
Keywords
Road traffic accidents, Economic growth, Ethiopia, GDP, Transport infrastructure, Panel data, Econometric model, Risk factors, Public health, Traffic safety, Regression analysis, Mortality, Disability-adjusted life years, Road injury prevention, Human capital.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the primary focus of this research proposal?
The proposal focuses on examining the impact of road traffic accidents on economic growth within Ethiopia.
What are the central themes of the work?
The central themes include traffic safety statistics, the economic costs of road crashes, the role of road infrastructure in development, and the identification of behavioral risk factors.
What is the main research question?
The core question asks to what extent road traffic accidents affect economic growth in Ethiopia, considering various socio-economic factors.
Which scientific method is utilized in this study?
The researcher utilizes a quantitative approach, employing panel data analysis with an OLS regression model and a fixed-effect econometric model.
What does the main body of the work cover?
The work covers a literature review of global and local accident trends, the definition of variables (GDP, government expenditure, labor force, etc.), model specification, and a detailed study plan.
Which keywords best characterize this research?
Key terms include Road traffic accidents, Economic growth, Ethiopia, GDP, Econometric model, and Traffic safety.
Why did the researcher choose a fixed-effect model for this analysis?
The fixed-effect model was chosen because the number of cross-section units is smaller than the time variables, making it more efficient for the study's specific panel data.
How is the "Road traffic accident" variable measured?
It is used as a proxy for the total number of crashes occurring due to any cause within the four studied areas, based on data from the federal police commission.
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- Dereje Yohannis (Autor:in), 2019, The Impact of Road Traffic Accident on Economic Growth in Ethiopia, München, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/507875
