After the end of nearly three decades of civil war in 2009, Sri Lanka is experiencing a tourism boom with a record level of international tourist arrivals. The Sri Lankan government has now identified tourism as a main component in its post-war development strategy. Despite this new policy enthusiasm there is dearth of research on tourism in Sri Lanka.
The purpose of this study, therefore, is to contribute to the literature on tourism in Sri Lanka in a number of ways. First, it provides a systematic historical narrative on Sri Lankan tourism and explains how Sri Lanka missed opportunities in the past. Second, it develops a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model focusing on tourism and constructs a database with an emphasis on tourism. Third, it examines the economy-wide effects of the post-war tourism boom in Sri Lanka.
Table of Contents
- 1. Introduction
- 1.1 Introduction
- 1.2 Motivation and Significance of Research Area
- 1.3 Identification of Research Problem
- 1.4 Research Questions
- 1.5 Research Objectives and Contributions
- 1.6 An Overview of Research Methodology
- 1.7 The Structure of the Paper
- 2. Tourism in Sri Lanka: A Historical Narrative
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 Location and Tourism Attractions
- 2.3 Tourism Development in Sri Lanka
- 2.3.1 The Ten Year National Plan and the First Tourism Boom in Sri Lanka
- 2.3.2 Fluctuation of Tourism during the Civil War Period
- 2.3.3 Comparison between Sri Lankan Tourism and its Asian Competitors
- 2.3.4 Post-war Tourism Boom and Optimism
- 3. Literature Review on Tourism Modelling
- 3.1 Introduction
- 3.2 Theoretical Framework of Economic Contribution of Tourism
- 3.3 Economic impact analysis modelling on tourism
- 3.3.1 Multiplier Methods in Estimating Economic Impact of Tourism
- 3.3.2 Input – Output Models of Tourism
- 3.3.3 Computable General Equilibrium Models on Tourism
- 3.4 Empirical Studies Using Tourism Focused CGE Models
- 3.4.1 CGE-Tourism Studies at National and Regional Levels
- 3.4.2 Special Shocks and Event Effects of Tourism
- 3.4.3 Environment and Poverty Analysis
- 3.5 Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA)
- 4. Research Design
- 4.1 Conceptual Framework of Economic Impact Analysis of Tourism
- 4.2 Development of SLCGE-Tourism
- 4.3 Tourism Data Structure of the CGE models
Objectives and Key Themes
This study aims to provide a historical analysis of Sri Lankan tourism, examining missed opportunities and the impact of the post-war tourism boom. It also develops a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the economy-wide effects of this boom.
- Historical development of Sri Lankan tourism policy and its relation to economic and political factors.
- The impact of the Sri Lankan civil war on the tourism sector.
- The economy-wide effects of the post-war tourism boom in Sri Lanka.
- A comparison of Sri Lanka's tourism performance with that of its Asian competitors.
- The application of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modeling to analyze tourism's macroeconomic impact.
Chapter Summaries
1. Introduction: This chapter introduces the study, defining tourism and highlighting its global importance. It emphasizes the post-war tourism boom in Sri Lanka and the lack of research on its economy-wide effects. The chapter establishes the research questions and objectives, outlining a historical narrative of Sri Lankan tourism and the development of a CGE model to analyze the post-war boom. It also details the research methodology, justifying the use of a CGE model over simpler approaches like input-output models. Finally, it presents the structure of the paper.
2. Tourism in Sri Lanka: A Historical Narrative: This chapter provides a comprehensive historical overview of tourism in Sri Lanka, exploring its potential and the missed opportunities of the past. It examines the country's geographical advantages and tourism attractions, detailing its unique blend of natural beauty, cultural heritage, and historical sites. The chapter analyzes the evolution of tourism policies and their relationship with national economic development strategies and political events, including the impact of the civil war on the tourism sector. It compares Sri Lanka's tourism growth with that of its Asian neighbors and highlights the significant post-war tourism boom, with its increased arrivals and foreign investment.
3. Literature Review on Tourism Modelling: This chapter presents a detailed review of existing literature on tourism modelling, exploring various methods used to quantify tourism's economic effects. It starts by explaining the theoretical framework for analyzing the economic contribution of tourism, outlining direct, indirect, and induced effects. The chapter then reviews the strengths and limitations of multiplier methods and input-output models before focusing on computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. It surveys numerous studies using CGE models to analyze tourism's impact, covering national and regional levels, special events, and environmental/poverty considerations. Finally, it discusses tourism satellite accounts (TSA) and their relevance in providing data for CGE models.
4. Research Design: This chapter outlines the research methodology employed in the study. It details the conceptual framework for economic impact analysis of tourism, showing the evolution of modeling techniques from simple multiplier models to sophisticated CGE models. It describes the development of the SLCGE-Tourism model, based on the Australian ORANI-G model, and explains the necessary modifications to incorporate tourism-specific activities. The chapter also discusses the data structure used in the CGE model, explaining the choice to modify an existing input-output database to include tourism, rather than using a more complex Social Accounting Matrix or a Tourism Satellite Account.
Keywords
Sri Lanka, tourism, economic impact, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, civil war, post-war development, tourism-led growth, Asian tourism, Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA), input-output model, multiplier effect.
Frequently Asked Questions: A Comprehensive Language Preview
What is the purpose of this document?
This document provides a comprehensive preview of a research paper focusing on the economic impact of tourism in Sri Lanka, particularly the post-war boom. It includes a table of contents, objectives and key themes, chapter summaries, and keywords.
What are the main topics covered in the research paper?
The paper covers the historical development of Sri Lankan tourism, the impact of the civil war on the tourism sector, the economy-wide effects of the post-war tourism boom, a comparison with Asian competitors, and the application of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modeling to analyze tourism's macroeconomic impact.
What methodology is used in the research?
The research utilizes a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the macroeconomic effects of the post-war tourism boom in Sri Lanka. This approach is chosen over simpler methods like input-output models to provide a more comprehensive understanding of the economy-wide impacts.
What is the historical context of Sri Lankan tourism discussed in the paper?
The paper provides a historical narrative of Sri Lankan tourism, examining its development, missed opportunities, and the influence of political and economic factors, including the significant impact of the civil war and the subsequent post-war boom.
How does the paper compare Sri Lanka's tourism with its Asian neighbors?
The research includes a comparative analysis of Sri Lanka's tourism performance against its Asian competitors, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses in the regional context.
What data sources are used in the CGE model?
The CGE model utilized in the research is based on modifications to an existing input-output database to incorporate tourism-specific activities. The choice to modify an existing database rather than using a more complex Social Accounting Matrix or Tourism Satellite Account is explained in the paper.
What are the key findings or expected contributions of this research?
The research aims to provide a detailed analysis of the economy-wide effects of the post-war tourism boom in Sri Lanka, offering insights into the potential for tourism-led growth and informing future policy decisions.
What are the key themes explored in this research?
Key themes include the historical development of Sri Lankan tourism policy, the impact of the Sri Lankan civil war on tourism, the economy-wide effects of the post-war tourism boom, a comparison of Sri Lanka's tourism performance with its Asian competitors, and the application of CGE modeling in tourism impact analysis.
What are the chapter summaries?
The document provides detailed summaries for each chapter: Chapter 1 (Introduction), Chapter 2 (Tourism in Sri Lanka: A Historical Narrative), Chapter 3 (Literature Review on Tourism Modelling), and Chapter 4 (Research Design).
What are the keywords associated with this research?
Keywords include Sri Lanka, tourism, economic impact, Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, civil war, post-war development, tourism-led growth, Asian tourism, Tourism Satellite Accounts (TSA), input-output model, and multiplier effect.
- Citar trabajo
- Dr. Sriyantha Fernando (Autor), 2012, An Assessment of the Impacts of Tourism in Sri Lanka, Múnich, GRIN Verlag, https://www.grin.com/document/373928
